Media Riset Ekonomi Pembangunan (MedREP)

PENGARUH DANA PERIMBANGAN TERHADAP PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI INKLUSIF MELALUI KETIMPAGAN PENDAPATAN DI SUMATERA BARAT

Nahda Fidarsih, Novya Zulva Riani — Thu, 06 Nov 2025 00:00:00 +0000

This research aims to analyze the influence of balancing funds on inclusive economic growth in West Sumatra from 2018 to 2023. The approach used is quantitative with panel data regression methods, utilizing secondary data from the Central Statistics Agency (BPS) and Ministry of Finance data. The variables studied include General Allocation Funds (DAU), Special Allocation Funds (DAK), and Profit Sharing Funds (DBH) and their impact on inclusive economic growth in overcoming income inequality in 19 districts/cities in the Sumatra region West. Simultaneous estimation results show that balancing funds have a significant effect on inclusive economic growth through income inequality. The results of this research highlight the importance of government policy in equalizing balancing funds so that they are felt by all levels of society and can reduce income inequality.

DETERMINAN EKSTERNAL DAN INTERNAL INFLASI DI INDONESIA

Nadiva Maharani, Yeniwati — Fri, 31 Oct 2025 00:00:00 +0000

This study aims to analyze the influence of external and internal factors on inflation in Indonesia from 1994-2024, which includes global energy prices, global non-energy commodity prices, real exchange rate, and real consumption. The analysis was conducted using multiple linear regression method with Ordinary Least Square (OLS) model adjusted using the Newey-West method (Heteroskedasticity and Autocorrelation Consistent/HAC). The results show that global energy prices have no significant effect on inflation. Conversely, global non-energy commodity prices have a significant positive effect on inflation. The real exchange rate and real consumption show a significant negative effect on inflation in Indonesia. Simultaneously, all four variables are proven to have a significant effect on inflation in Indonesia.These findings provide important implications for the government to continue more targeted energy subsidy policies, maintain real exchange rate stability, strengthen stabilization of non-energy commodity prices through increased agricultural sector productivity and strengthening of national food reserves, and strengthen coordination between monetary and fiscal policies

Determinan Deforestasi di Pulau Sumatera

Teguh Wahyatma, Doni Satria — Thu, 06 Nov 2025 00:00:00 +0000

Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk melihat faktor-faktor yang mempengaruhi deforestasi di Pulau Sumatera. Data yang digunakan merupakan data panel yaitu berupa data dari 10 Provinsi di Pulau Sumatera pada tahun 2015-2021. Data yang digunakan merupakan data sekunder yang diperoleh dari Badan Pusat Statistik. Metode penelitian ini yaitu metode kuantitatif dengan pendekatan penelitian deskriptif dan induktif. Penelitian ini menggunakan analisis regresi data panel dengan model terbaik yang terpilih adalah Common Effect Model (CEM). Hasil penelitian menemukan bahwa PDRB subsektor tanaman pangan berpengaruh negatif dan signifikan terhadap deforestasi di pulau Sumatera. PDRB subsektor tanaman holtikultura berpengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap deforestasi di pulau Sumatera. PDRB subsektor tanaman perkebunan berpengaruh positif dan tidak signifikan terhadap deforestasi di Pulau Sumatera. Tingkat pendapatan berpengaruh negatif dan signifikan terhadap deforestasi di pulau Sumatera. PDRB sektor kehutanan dan penebangan kayu berpengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap deforestasi di pulau Sumatera.

Faktor-Faktor yang Mempengaruhi Produktivitas Tenaga Kerja di Kabupaten/Kota Provinsi Nusa Tenggara Timur

Brelia Zohana, Selli Nelonda — Tue, 04 Nov 2025 00:00:00 +0000

The purpose of this study is to analyze and identify the extent to which the variables of education, health, wages, and labor force participation influence labor productivity in the regency/city areas of East Nusa Tenggara Province. This study uses panel data consisting of 22 regencies/cities over the period 2015-2023. The analysis method used in this study is panel data regression with the best model, namely the Fixed Effect Model (FEM). Based on the panel data regression test, the results show that partially, education has a negative and insignificant effect on labor productivity, whereas health, wages, and labor force participation have a positive and significant effect on labor productivity in East Nusa Tenggara Province. Simultaneously, the variables of education, health, wages, and labor force participation show a positive and significant influence on labor productivity in the regency/city areas of East Nusa Tenggara.

Keywords: Labor Productivity, Education, Health, Wages, Labor Force Participation

Pengaruh Desentralisasi Fiskal dan Belanja Modal Terhadap Ketimpangan Regional di Pulau Sumatera

Sri Dewi Julita Sari, Muhammad Irfan — Fri, 31 Oct 2025 00:00:00 +0000

This study investigates the impact of fiscal decentralization and capital expenditure on regional inequality across Sumatra Island. Utilizing panel data from ten provinces over the 2015–2024 period, the analysis employs a Fixed Effect Model (FEM) to control for unobserved heterogeneity among provinces. Regional inequality is measured using the Williamson Index, while fiscal decentralization is proxied by the degree of expenditure-side fiscal decentralization. The empirical results indicate that both fiscal decentralization and capital expenditure exert a negative and statistically significant effect on regional inequality. These findings underscore the critical role of optimizing local revenue (PAD) and prioritizing capital investment in basic infrastructure to foster more equitable regional development across Sumatra Island.

ANALISIS PENGARUH INDEKS MODAL MANUSIA, PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DAN UPAH MINIMUM TERHADAP TINGKAT PENGANGGURAN TERBUKA PADA PROVINSI-PROVINSI DI INDONESIA

Meylani Cantika, Ariusni — Thu, 06 Nov 2025 00:00:00 +0000

The purpose of this study is to examine how the minimum wage, economic growth, and human capital index affect the open unemployment rate in Indonesian provinces between 2019 and 2023. The open unemployment rate for the last five years is the dependent variable in this study, whereas the human capital index, economic growth, and minimum wage are the independent variables. This study uses both descriptive and associative methods. The panel data analysis model is the one that was employed in this investigation. Cross-sectional and time series data are combined in the panel data analysis approach. The Central Statistics Agency, the Ministry of Health, and the Ministry of Education and Culture provided the secondary data used in this study. The study's findings are as follows: (1) the open unemployment rate in Indonesian provinces is not significantly impacted by the human capital index; (2) the open unemployment rate in Indonesian provinces is significantly impacted by economic growth; (3) the minimum wage has no significant impact on the open unemployment rate in Indonesian provinces; and (4) the open unemployment rate in Indonesian provinces is significantly impacted by the human capital index, economic growth, and minimum wage all at the same time.

Pengaruh Faktor Sosial Ekonomi Terhadap Prevalensi Stunting di Indonesia

Elsin Tina, Novya Zulva Riani — Sun, 02 Nov 2025 00:00:00 +0000

Stunting is a health problem in toddlers that has become an important issue in national development. This study aims to analyze the influence of poverty, maternal education, protein consumption, acces to safe drinking water, and acces to proper sanitation on the prevalence of stunting in Indonesia. The data used is panel data from 34 provinces in Indonesia during 2018-2024, sourced from the Central Statistics Agency and the Indonesian Ministry of Health. The research uses panel dataa regression method with the Random Effect Model (REM). The estimation results found that poverty has a positive and significant effect on stunting prevalence. Maternal education has a negative and significant effect on the prevalence of stunting. However, protein consumption does not have a significant effect on the prevalence of stunting. Acces to safe drinking water has a negative and significant impact on stunting prevalence. Proper sanitation access has a negative and significant effect on the prevalence of stunting in Indonesia. This study emphasizes the importance of optimizing efforts to alleviate poverty, improving women’s education, and enhancing and equalizing acces to clean water and proper sanitation.

Pengaruh Karakteristik Rumah Tangga Terhadap Status Bekerja Anak Di Sumatera Barat

Shyl Vany Edwarman, Joan Marta — Thu, 06 Nov 2025 00:00:00 +0000

Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis pengaruh karakteristik rumah tangga terhadap status bekerja anak di Sumatera Barat dengan menggunakan data SUSENAS tahun 2024. Metode analisis yang digunakan adalah regresi logistik biner. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa pendidikan orang tua, pekerjaan orang tua, status perkawinan orang tua, wilayah tempat tinggal, dan pendidikan anak berpengaruh signifikan terhadap kemungkinan anak untuk bekerja. Sementara itu, pengeluaran rumah tangga per kapita dan jumlah anak tidak berpengaruh signifikan. Temuan ini mengindikasikan bahwa karakteristik rumah tangga, terutama aspek pendidikan dan sosial, berperan penting dalam menekan pekerja anak di Sumatera Barat.

Pengaruh Penanaman Modal, Sektor Ekonomi, dan Kredit terhadap Pertumbuhan Inklusif di Indonesia

Andini Adisti, Maizul Rahmizal — Sun, 02 Nov 2025 00:00:00 +0000

Study This analyze influence foreign direct investment, domestic investment, financial sector , trade , and access credit to growth inclusive on level provinces in Indonesia during 2019–2023 period . With use method cross-section panel data regression and effect models remains the chosen one based on chow test and hausman , research This integrating the Solow model, theory growth inclusive , as well as theory development finance through credit channel . Results analysis show that variables investment And sector finance play a role significant in push growth inclusive. In a way policy , research This recommend strengthening relatedness domestic investment , expansion inclusion credit for MSMEs, as well as integration policy trading And financing area use support growth better economy evenly And sustainable throughout Indonesian territory .

Ekspor Sektor Jasa dan Pertumbuhan Ekonomi di Asia Tenggara

Ade Kurniati, Muhammad Irfan — Thu, 06 Nov 2025 00:00:00 +0000

Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui pengaruh Ekspor Sektor Jasa, Pembentukan Modal Tetap Bruto, Konsumsi Pemerintah, Inflasi, Keterbukaan Ekonomi terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi di Asia Tenggara. Metode yang digunakan adalah analisis data panel dengan Model Efek Tetap (Fixed Effect Model atau FEM). Variabel dependen dalam penelitian ini adalah Pertumbuhan Ekonomi, sedangkan variabel independen dalam penelitian ini adalah Ekspor Sektor Jasa, Pembentukan Modal Tetap Bruto, Konsumsi Pemerintah, Inflasi, Dan Keterbukaan Ekonomi. Hasil penelitian ini menunjukkan ekspor sektor jasa memiliki pengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi di Asia Tenggara, pembentukan modal tetap bruto memiliki pengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi di Asia Tenggara, konsumsi pemerintah memiliki pengaruh negatif dan signifikan terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi di Asia Tenggara, sementara itu inflasi dan keterbukaan ekonomi tidak berpengaruh terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi di Asia Tenggara. Temuan ini menegaskan bahwa daya saing ekspor sektor jasa menjadi penggerak pertumbuhan ekonomi yang berkelanjutan, sekaligus mengurangi ketergantungan terhadap ekspor barang mentah atau manufaktur dan mampu menciptakan investasi yang kondusif, stabilitas politik dalam ekonomi serta kepastian hukum.

ANALISIS DETERMINAN KETIMPANGAN PENDAPATAN DI PULAU SUMATERA

Shofi Yuni Fitri, Mike Triani — Sat, 01 Nov 2025 00:00:00 +0000

This study aims to analyze the determinants of income inequality in Sumatra Island. The variables examined consist of GDP per capita, agricultural sector GDP, agricultural employment, school participation rate, open unemployment rate, and female labor force participation across 10 provinces in Sumatra from 2015 to 2022. This research employs panel data analysis, and based on the model selection tests conducted, the Fixed Effect Model (FEM) was identified as the most appropriate model.The results indicate that GDP per capita has a negative and significant effect on income inequality, implying that higher regional income contributes to reducing inequality in Sumatra. Likewise, the school participation rate and female labor force participation show negative and significant effects, suggesting that better access to education and greater involvement of women in the labor market play an essential role in narrowing the income gap.Meanwhile, agricultural employment has a negative but insignificant effect on income inequality, indicating that the agricultural labor sector has not yet contributed meaningfully to reducing inequality. Furthermore, agricultural GDP and the open unemployment rate have positive but insignificant effects, demonstrating that increases in these variables do not have a substantial impact on income distribution. Overall, the findings highlight the importance of economic growth, education, and female workforce participation in addressing income inequality in Sumatra.

Dampak Faktor Sosial Ekonomi Terhadap Kejahatan Properti (Property Crime) di Indonesia

Hari Satria, Doni Satria — Thu, 06 Nov 2025 00:00:00 +0000

Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk melihat dampak faktor sosial ekonomi terhadap kejahatan properti (Property Crime) di Indonesia. Data yang digunakan merupakan data panel yaitu berupa data dari 34 Provinsi di Indonesia pada tahun 2019-2023. Data yang digunakan merupakan data sekunder yang diperoleh dari Badan Pusat Statistik. Metode penelitian ini yaitu metode kuantitatif dengan pendekatan penelitian deskriptif dan induktif. Penelitian ini menggunakan analisis regresi data panel dengan model terbaik yang terpilih adalah Fixed Effect Model (FEM). Hasil penelitian menemukan bahwa Ketimpangan Pendapatan, Tingkat Pendidikan, dan Kepadatan Penduduk berpengaruh signifikan namun, pada variabel Pengangguran tidak berpengaruh signifikan, sedangkan variabel Kemiskinan dan Kekuatan Kepolisian berpengaruh tidak signifikan terhadap kejahatan properti di Indonesia.

Faktor Yang Mempengaruhi Pembangunan Manusia Di Provinsi Sumatera Utara

Anisya Dwi Sukma Agsa, Mike Triani — Thu, 06 Nov 2025 00:00:00 +0000

This study aims to identify the factors influencing human development in North Sumatra Province. The variables examined include the poverty rate, the open unemployment rate, and economic growth across districts and cities in North Sumatra Province during the period 2017–2023. The study employs panel data analysis, with the Fixed Effect Model (FEM) selected as the most appropriate model. The results indicate that the poverty rate and economic growth have a negative and significant effect on the Human Development Index (HDI) in North Sumatra Province, while the open unemployment rate has a positive but insignificant effect on the HDI.

Pengaruh Good Governance terhadap Kemiskinan di Negara Berkembang

Rio Anugerah Utama, Joan Marta — Fri, 31 Oct 2025 00:00:00 +0000

This study examines the impact of good governance on poverty levels in developing countries. Good governance is measured using five World Bank indicators: Control of Corruption, Government Effectiveness, Regulatory Quality, Political Stability and Absence of Violence/Terrorism, and Voice and Accountability. The analysis employs panel data regression from 16 developing countries over the period 2008–2022, using a quantitative approach through the Random Effect Model (REM). The findings indicate that both individually and jointly, good governance indicators have a significant effect on poverty. Control variables, namely Gross Domestic Product (GDP) per capita and Labor Force Participation Rate (LFPR), also play an important role. These results highlight that improving governance quality through transparency, policy effectiveness, and public participation is a strategic effort to sustainably alleviate poverty in developing countries.

Determinan Partisipasi Sekolah Di Sumatera Barat

Shovi Amelta, Joan Marta — Thu, 06 Nov 2025 00:00:00 +0000

Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk melihat seberapa besar pengaruh Tingkat
Kesejahteraan, tingkat kemiskinan, dan sarana pendidikan terhadap angka
partisipasi sekolah, yang mencakup 19 kabupaten/kota pada periode 2017-2023.
Penelitian ini menggunakan data sekunder yang bersumber dari Badan Pusat
Statistik (BPS). Dengan partisipasi sekolah sebagai variabel terikat, tingkat
kesejahteraan, tingkat kemiskinan, dan sarana pendidikan sebagai variabel
bebas. Metode penelitian yang digunakan adalah regresi data panel. Hasil
penelitian dengan pendekatan Fixed Effect menunjukkan bahwa hubungan,
sarana pendidikan berpengaruh signifikan terhadap partisipasi sekolah dan
tingkat kesejahteraan, tingkat kemiskinan mempunyai hubungan tidak signifikan
terhadap partisipasi sekolah di kabupaten/kota di sumatera barat tahun 2017
2023.

Pengaruh Digitalisasi Terhadap Penyerapan Tenaga Kerja Di Indonesia

maisyha yulia, Mike Triani — Tue, 04 Nov 2025 00:00:00 +0000

Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis pengaruh keterampilan TIK, akses internet pada kelompok usia 16–18, 19–24, dan 25+, tingkat pendidikan, dan tingkat upah terhadap penyerapan tenaga kerja di Indonesia yang diukur dengan tingkat interferensi terbuka (TPT). Penelitian ini menggunakan pendekatan kuantitatif dengan memanfaatkan data sekunder berupa data deret waktu yang diperoleh dari Badan Pusat Statistik (BPS) periode 2016–2023. Metode analisis yang diterapkan adalah regresi data panel. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa secara parsial keterampilan TIK berpengaruh negatif dan signifikan terhadap penyerapan tenaga kerja. Akses internet pada kelompok usia 16–18 berpengaruh negatif dan tidak signifikan. Akses internet pada kelompok usia 19–24 berpengaruh negatif dan tidak signifikan terhadap penyerapan tenaga kerja. Selanjutnya, akses internet pada kelompok usia 25+ berpengaruh positif dan signifikan. Tingkat pendidikan menunjukkan pengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap penyerapan tenaga kerja. Tingkat upah berpengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap penyerapan tenaga kerja di Indonesia.

Determinan Kemiskinan Wilayah Kepulauan DI Indonesia

intan biduri, Joan Marta — Fri, 31 Oct 2025 00:00:00 +0000

This research aims to examine the influence of human capital, financial capital, economic structure, and regional dummy variables on the poverty level of island regions in Indonesia. The analysis method used in this research is multiple linear regression analysis. The results of this study indicate that all independent variables collectively have a significant impact on the poverty level as the dependent variable. Partially, human capital has a negative and significant impact on the reduction of poverty levels, financial capital has a negative and significant impact on the reduction of poverty levels, while the economic structure has a positive but not significant impact on the reduction of poverty levels. Human capital interacted with the area dummy has a negative and significant effect at the 10% level on the reduction of poverty levels, financial capital interacted with the area dummy has a negative but not significant impact on the reduction of poverty levels, the economic structure interacted with the area dummy has a negative but not significant impact on the reduction of poverty levels, and the area dummy has a positive and significant impact at the 10% level indicating a difference between island regions and non-island regions.

Pengaruh Karakteristik Sosial Ekonomi Terhadap Partisipasi Pendidikan Anak Rumah Tangga Perdesaan di Indonesia

Azizah Rahmadhani, Joan Marta — Thu, 06 Nov 2025 00:00:00 +0000

Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengatahui karakteristik sosial ekonomi yang mempengaruhi partisipasi pendidikan anak rumaah tangga perdesaan baik secara parsial maupul simultan dengan variable yang di teliti adalah pengeluaran rumah tangga, status pernikahan kepala rumah tangga, jumlah angota rumah tangga, pekerjaan kepala rumah tangga, pendidikan kepala rumah tangga Pendekatan yang digunakan adalah kuantitatif dengan analisis yang digunakan regresi logistic biner, memanfaatkan data Survei Sosial Ekonomi Nasional (SUSENAS) 2020 Hasil Penelitian secara parsial menunjukkan bahwa variabel pengeluaran rumah tangga memiliki pengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap partisipasi pendidikan anak, status pernikahan pengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap partisipasi pendidikan anak , jumlah anggota rumah tangga pengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap partisipasi pendidikan anak, pekerjaan kepala rumah tangga pengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap partisipasi pendidikan anak, dan pendidikan kepala rumah tangga pengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap partisipasi pendidikan anak rumah tangga perdesaan di Indonesia. 2). Secara simultan variabel pengeluaran rumah tangga, status pernikahan kepala rumah tangga, jumlah anggota rumah tangga, pekerjaan kepala rumah tangga, dan pendidikan kepala rumah tangga pengaruhsignifikan terhadap probabilitas partisipasi pendidikan anak rumah tangga perdesaan di Indonesia.

Pengaruh kerjasama ekonomi Indonesia dengan China terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi Indonesia

Muhammad alfikri, Mike Triani — Sun, 02 Nov 2025 00:00:00 +0000

This study aims to analyze the impact of Indonesia–China economic cooperation on Indonesia’s economic growth during the quarterly period of 2017–2024. The independent variables consist of Indonesia’s exports to China, imports from China, Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) from China, and the rupiah exchange rate against the US dollar, while the dependent variable is Indonesia’s economic growth. The research employs a quantitative approach using multiple linear regression (OLS) and classical assumption tests to ensure the validity of the model

Determinan Pengangguran Muda di Indonesia

Shevia Penta Hermalia, Mike Triani — Thu, 06 Nov 2025 00:00:00 +0000

Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis determinan pengangguran muda di Indonesia. Pendekatan yang digunakan adalah kuantitatif dengan analisis yang digunakan regresi logistik biner, memanfaatkan data Survei Angkatan Kerja Nasional (SAKERNAS) 2020. Variabel yang di analisis meliputi pendidikan, status pernikahan, wilayah, jenis kelamin, keterampilan dan status dalam rumah tangga terhadap pengangguran muda (usia 18-29 tahun). Hasil estimasi menunjukan bahwa pendidikan, status pernikahan, jenis kelamin, dan status dalam rumah tangga berpengaruh negatif dan signifikan terhadap pengangguran muda sedangkan keterampilan dan wilayah berpengaruh positif signifikan terhadap pengangguran muda. Temuan ini menegaskan bahwa perlunya kebijakan peningkatan Pendidikan, pelatihan, keterampilan serta pemerataan kesempatan kerja yang dapat menekan pengangguran muda di Indonesia.

Pengaruh PDRB Per Kapita, Tingkat Kemiskinan dan Pengeluaran Pemerintah terhadap Indeks Pembangunan Manusia di Provinsi Sumatera Barat

Dea Fahera, Mike Triani — Sat, 01 Nov 2025 00:00:00 +0000

This study aims to analyze the effect of Gross Regional Domestic Product (GRDP) per capita, poverty rate, and government expenditure on the Human Development Index (HDI) in West Sumatra Province. The study employs panel data from 12 regencies and 7 cities over the period 2020–2024. The analytical method used is panel data regression with the Fixed Effect Model (FEM) approach. The results indicate that GRDP per capita has a positive and significant effect on HDI, the poverty rate has a negative but insignificant effect on HDI, while government expenditure has a positive and significant effect on HDI. Simultaneously, the three variables significantly influence HDI in West Sumatra. These findings emphasize the importance of increasing community income and enhancing the effectiveness of regional budget management to support human development, as well as the need for strategic policies to mitigate the impact of poverty.